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Looking for an IPv6 naysayer...

On 2011/02/09 2:44 PM, Jens Link wrote:
>> IPv6 for some ISPs will be extraordinarily painful because of legacy
>> >  layer 2 gear
> I don't feel sorry for them. We know that IPv6 is coming for how long?
> 15years? 10year? 5years? Well if you only read the mainstream media you
> should have read something about this new Internet thing about two years
> ago. And still many people fear IPv6 or think the can still wait for
> another couple of years.

I'm not sure about your part of the world, but the economy has been 
terrible in mine.  Even in a good economy, DSL margins don't afford the 
ability to replace your network every two years.  In fact, spending on 
new gear all but halted for us over the last 6 years.  While everyone is 
still figuring out best practices for IPv6 rollout today, how difficult 
would it have been to plan and purchase the exact equipment that long 
ago?  Was the right equipment even available for a production environment?

Not only that, but cheap CPE equipment that supports IPv6 still hardly 
exists today, and all of that will need replacing.  In addition, what 
about IP phones and the customer that just replaced their entire phone 
system?  Are they going to want to do that all over again by the end of 
the year?

No, IPv6 rollout is going to be extremely expensive and will likely put 
a number of smaller operations out of business.