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[arin-ppml] NAT444 rumors (was Re: Looking for an IPv6naysayer...)



In message <EFD65FF5-12C8-49BE-8243-F081949A5A08 at genius.com>, Franck Martin wri
tes:
> http://www.jetcafe.org/~npc/isp/large.html
> 
> If you take the 5 top US ISPs and get them to do dual stack IPv6, that's 50 m
> =
> illion subscribers in the US only.
> 
> I think google and others will notice some serious traffic happening.
> 
> It took a market share of 10 to 20% of Mozilla for web developers to go back=
>  to support ALL browsers. Same for mobile web site a 10% surfing rate got ma=
> ny companies to develop web sites for mobiles.
> 
> If I recall Comcast and Time Warner are participating in IPv6 day. This shou=
> ld create enough eyeballs to show on web analytics graph and provide the shi=
> ft that makes nat444 irrelevant.

Comcast and Time Warner can enable it, they can't however turn it on in
many cases as it requires the customer to do something.
 
> For a network operator I'm looking at the ipv6 ipv4 ASN ratio. Once it passe=
> s 10% we will have a snow ball effect in the core.
> 
> Toute connaissance est une r=C3=A9ponse =C3=A0 une question
> 
> >=20
> 
-- 
Mark Andrews, ISC
1 Seymour St., Dundas Valley, NSW 2117, Australia
PHONE: +61 2 9871 4742                 INTERNET: marka at isc.org